Golf Analytics

How Golfers Win


Original research on golf:

Translating College Performance:
Predicting Professional Performance of College Golfers (REDUX)
Predicting Professional Performance of College Golfers (Part II)
Predicting Professional Performance of College Golfers (Part III) – most updated, full college career
Predicting Professional Performance of College Golfers (Part IV) – last two seasons of college career only

Predicting Golfer Performance:
Predicting Golfer Performance in Full Seasons
Predicting Performance Using Previous Week
Predicting Performance Using Bayesian Prior – individual tournaments
What’s a Hot Start Worth? – predicting season performance based on the first two months
Follow-up to What’s a Hot Start Worth? – how does age affect how we weigh early season performance in projections?
Repeatability of Performance by Shot Type – examining how tee to green, putting, and scrambling play regress to the mean
Putting-Driven Performance Changes are Illusory – examining how putting drives performance changes

Aging Curves:
The Aging Curve for PGA Tour Golfers
The Aging Curve for PGA Tour Golfers (Part II) – regressed according to total rounds played
The Aging Curve for PGA Tour Golfers (Part III) – introducing a Bayesian prior
An Aging Curve for Putting – using Strokes Gained Putting to constuct an aging curve for putting
Aging Curve for Driving Distance and Scrambling

Total Driving – The Intersection of Driving Distance and Accuracy

Links to research on golf:
Strokes Gained – Mark Broadie
ISOPAR Method – Stöckl, Lamb, Lames

8 responses to “Research

  1. colm May 17, 2014 at 7:18 AM

    Hi Jake,

    I really like the website, very interesting and extremely well done.

    I’m currently a Graduate level student studying Data Analytics in Dublin, Ireland. I stumbled across Golf Analytics while seeking datasets for a research project I’m working on.

    As a golf fanatic I’m keen to carry out research on the sport. I have couple of broad research questions that I’m looking to focus on. I’m wondering, where do you source your data? It’s excellent!

    Many thanks,

    • jalnichols May 19, 2014 at 9:25 AM

      Thank you.

      I source my tournament results from Yahoo Sports Golf Leaderboards. They have full tournaments back to the early 2000s for PGA, European, Champions, LPGA, and Tour. Everything else comes from the PGA Tour’s website. The data is often buried in player profiles, but it can be extracted in significant detail back to 2004 for shot-by-shot stats and to the early 1980s for aggregate season stats.

  2. jalnichols March 31, 2015 at 1:26 PM

    Yeah. All of that data has to be cleaned.

    The European Tour site has European data going back into the 1970s and the PGA Tour site has PGA/ Tour results into the 1970s, but in terms of access/convenience it’s tough to beat Yahoo.

  3. Michael Zimmermann September 21, 2015 at 3:02 PM

    Hey, Jacob. The Yahoo Golf Leaderboards and Stats pages keep redirecting me to the PGA Tour website, which doesn’t have anything before 2015 as far as specific tournaments, etc. Am I looking in the wrong places? How are you going about getting your data?

    Absolutely love the site, and thank you for the help.

  4. Albert Chen August 6, 2017 at 8:31 PM

    Hi Jacob,

    Love the site, thanks for putting all this up. I was wondering where I could find data for specific Birdie/Bogey/Eagle stats per event?

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